2008 stock trading profit -10.6%
2008 futures trading profit +53.5%
We provide our VTM trading signals to hedge funds, large traders, and institutional money managers
Our proprietary VTM Trading System combines value investing, market timing, trend following and money management
Timer Digest 2002 and 2007 Timer of the Year
Top Long Term Timer Last 2 Years
About Gibbons' Trading
Gibbons' Trading LLC is a Las Vegas based private hedge fund that is engaged in proprietary trading, research, and publishing. The company's managing partner is Michael Gibbons who earned a Bachelor of Arts Degree from California State University at Long Beach in Economics. He was a pioneer in computerized market analysis, having used it for trading and research since 1971. For twenty six years, Michael was a broker and trading advisor working for some of the nation's largest investment firms. He was one of the first to discover and employ stock index arbitrage in the early 1980s.
Nine years ago, he created the Value Trading Method (VTM) which is a proprietary black-box "quant" method of trading that uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be consistent with acceptable deviation from the mean. He recently enhanced the money management aspect of his trading, and thus he expects continued gains with even less volatility of returns.
The VTM market timing model combines value investing, market timing, trend following and money management. It is an integrated and statistically robust trading method that trades with a significant edge. The accumulation of edges on a per trade basis has produced a positive return in most years. Low probability situations are ignored, and high probability situations are always employed.
Gibbons' Trading clients include large traders, banks, forex dealers, hedge funds, brokers, insurance companies, risk management firms, and many institutional money managers. His fees for his services and publications are among the highest in the world.
Gibbons thinks that fundamental analysis is not useful in trading because you still have to decide when to buy and sell, which fundamental analysis is incapable of providing per se. In addition, he thinks 95% of technical analysis is worthless because of the subjectivity inherent in most of it. The small portion of technical analysis that is objective, was not found to be particularly profitable in his thirty six years of testing. However, his amalgamation of several objective measures of value and trend, have proven to be more profitable than he could have imagined.
Gibbons’ Trading LLC offers various financial publications. All trades are determined by computerized analysis of the current market situation and the trend as defined by his method.
"Money rests on the axiom that every man is the owner of his mind and his effort. Money allows no power to prescribe the value of your effort except the voluntary choice of the man who is willing to trade you his effort in return. Money permits you to obtain for your goods and your labor that which they are worth to the men who buy them, but no more. Money permits no deals except those to mutual benefit by the unforced judgment of the traders."
"Men have been taught that it is a virtue to agree with others. But the creator is the man who disagrees. Men have been taught that it is a virtue to swim with the current. But the creator is the man who goes against the current. Men have been taught that it is a virtue to stand together. But the creator is the man who stands alone."
Ayn Rand
"...the guiltiest men are not the collectivists; the guiltiest men are those who, lacking the courage to challenge mysticism or altruism, attempt to bypass the issues of reason and morality and to defend the only rational and moral system in mankind's history- capitalism- on any grounds other than rational and moral."
Ayn Rand
"We cannot direct the wind, but we can adjust the sails."
Michael Gibbons
Current Market Analysis
Updated 7/4/2008
Our current VTM trading signals are reserved for subscribers only. VTM is a proprietary "quant" method of trading that uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be consistent with acceptable deviation from the mean. We have enhanced the money management aspect of our trading, and thus we expect continued gains with even less volatility of returns. The VTM over ten years of real time trading has proven to be among the most profitable trading methods in the world. The VTM combines value investing, market timing, trend following, and money management.
Our stock index trades have been profitable 73.7% of the time and have made a net profit of $31,400,975.00 over our history.
