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Gibbons' Trading
Average stock trading Profit +11.1% per year
The world's #1 Market Timer Timer Digest 2002/2007/2008 Timer of the Year Timer Digest 2008 #1 Long Term Timer of the Year Timer Digest #1 Long Term Timer for the last 3 Years Timer Digest #1 Long Term Timer for the last 5 Years How have we performed? From 12/30/2003 to 12/31/2008 a $100 investment in the S&P 500 is now worth $81.23* From 12/30/2003 to 12/31/2008 a $100 investment in the S&P 500 using Gibbons' trading signals is now worth $188.33* *data according to Timer Digest's Special Annual Report (1/26/2009)* Track Record From 12/30/2003 to 12/31/2008 a $100 investment in the S&P 500 is now worth $81.23* From 12/30/2003 to 12/31/2008 a $100 investment in the S&P 500 using Gibbons' trading signals is now worth $188.33* *data according to Timer Digest's Special Annual Report (1/26/2009)* Stocks/ETFs 2009 Daily Data Systematic ETF Trading Model +10.5% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Weekly Data Systematic ETF Trading Model +2.2% (as of 6/22/2009) Futures 2009 Daily Data Systematic Very Short Term Futures Model Portfolio +24.8% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Daily Data Discretionary Short Term Model Portfolio +5.1% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Weekly Data Systematic Long Term Model Portfolio -24.1 (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Option Writing Model Portfolio +42.3% (as of 6/22/2009)
Gibbons' Trading Blog: "I don't think trading strategies are as vulnerable to not working if people know about them, as most traders believe. If what you are doing is right, it will work even if people have a general idea about it. I always say that you could publish trading rules in the newspaper and no one would follow them." -Richard Dennis- "It's not luck Todd" -Louis Winthorpe III in Trading Places- Gibbons' Trading VTM Short Term Futures Model Portfolio Trading Record Futures Trading Information We have made considerable profits for our subscribers over the past eight years since the inception of the Futures publication. As good as my record is, we do not win every month and we do have losing periods. That is why we recommend that you capitalize your futures account at least four times minimum margin requirements. Winners approach futures trading as a business. Any business requires sufficient capital to sustain it. One of the major reasons a business fails is because of under capitalization. If you are trading, you must have adequate capital if you want to remain in business. If you do not have adequate capital, do not trade. If you look at the failure rate of most futures traders, the only conclusion you can come to is that many traders really want to lose their money. This observation is from many years of dealing with thousands of traders-the vast majority of do not have the necessary discipline to be successful. Many traders are in the markets for thrills and have a gambler's mentality. If you have a psychological need to lose money in the markets so that you can get attention from friends and/or loved ones, we suggest you not trade. Most trading programs are so short term that commissions and slippage dissipate much of the profit because of the high turnover. For us, we trade so infrequently, that commissions and slippage are generally a non factor. Note that we margin only 10-20% of total account equity. I am Timer Digest’s 2008 Timer of the Year and I won this honor in 2002 and 2007 as well. Timer Digest monitors over a 100 of the world’s top market timing/trading models, and the very word “timer” implies that I am a market timer- I am kind of, but only in the sense that my short-term trend trades are correct a very high percentage of the time. I developed my short term VTM (Value Trading Method) Trading System on very short term measures of trend, that while discretionary, are based on systematic patterns. A trend is something that repeats, and if you examine the buy and sell signals, you can see that when I buy the S&P it generally moves higher and when I sell, it tends to move lower.Below are my trades submitted to Timer Digest for the S&P 500 cash (SPX) covering late 2007 and 2008 with the resultant profit and loss. As you can see, far from having losses in 2008, I achieved the best trading record in my history. These are real-time trading results.
Publication schedule Gibbons' Trading financial publications are sent to you every Sunday morning. In addition, unlike other financial information writers that have a fixed publication schedule, we publish whenever the markets tell us to act. In a very active market, you might receive updates several times a week. We provide a totally disciplined approach to trading with no emotion added. We are not fundamental traders that write reams of prose with "stories" that support our trades. You get high probability trades, and we make occasional specific market comments based upon the Value Trading Method. The VTM is a proprietary price based trend following and pattern recognition method of trading that uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be consistent with little deviation from the mean. We have enhanced the money management aspect of our trading, and thus we expect continued gains with even less volatility of returns. Because of our track record, we have one of the most expensive trading information services in the world. This is logical as our clients are willing to pay for the edge we provide on a consistent basis. Subscribers to our VTM publications include large traders, banks, forex dealers, hedge funds, brokers, futures funds, insurance companies, risk management firms, and many institutional money managers.
S&P 500 Trading Signal Publication Subscribers receive buy and sell signals for the S&P 500 based upon the 100% Systematic VTM Long-Term Trend Following Trading System created by Michael Gibbons. The S&P 500 Trading Signal Publication averages one (1) trading signal per year. VTM S&P 500 trading signals have outperformed the S&P 500 by 1637.82 index points since 12/4/1998 (updated 6/22/2009). Subscribers have a significant edge because we issue both longs and shorts. This publication is designed for investors- not traders because of the average length of time between trading signals. You can use our signals to trade ETFs, mutual funds, index funds and any investment instrument that is highly correlated to the S&P 500. 1 year $5,000.00 ETF Publication We offer two (2) Trend Following ETF Model Portfolios 2009 Track Record 2009 Daily Data Systematic ETF Trading Model +10.5% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Weekly Data Systematic ETF Trading Model +2.2% (as of 6/22/2009) Two time dimensions (daily and weekly) are offered for VTM trading signals in this publication. This enables subscribers to decide how active they want to be. All trading signals are 100% systematic for either time dimension and they are based upon the VTM Trading Model developed by Michael Gibbons. The first set of trading signals are issued for three ETFs (DIA/QQQQ/SPY) and are based on daily closing price data. We are always in the market long or short, and we average about four (4) signals per year for each of the three ETFs. The second set of trading signals are for SPY only and are based on Weekly closing price data and we average about one (1) trading signal per year. Here too, we are always in the market long or short. Our ETF trading signals have been highly profitable in the past and we expect them to be profitable in the future. We have averaged 11.1% net annual return for all of our ETF trading models over our history. 1 year $25,000.00 Futures Publication We offer four (4) Trend Following Futures Model Portfolios 2009 Track Record 2009 Daily Data Systematic Very Short Term Futures Model Portfolio +24.8% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Daily Data Discretionary Short Term Model Portfolio +5.1% (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Weekly Data Systematic Long Term Model Portfolio -24.1 (as of 6/22/2009) 2009 Option Writing Model Portfolio +42.3% (as of 6/22/2009) We offer four (4) Model Portfolios for futures trading. You receive our proprietary buy/sell signals in 32 futures markets that comprise our VTM Model Portfolios. Trades issued are generated by the various discretionary and systematic VTM Trading Models. Hourly, daily, and weekly data is used to generate the trading signals in the VTM Model Portfolios. Trades can last several days to several years depending on the data length being employed and the specific Model Portfolio. Much emphasis is on stock index trading, as our VTM Trading Models have beaten the market by a large margin over our trading history. In addition, we recently started a real-money VTM Option Writing Model Portfolio that was shown to be highly profitable in back testing and has been even more profitable in real-time trading. We employ several proprietary option writing credit strategies in our work. 1 year $30,000.00Private Research & Mentoring We provide our proprietary research to clients on an on-demand basis. The Value Trading Method (VTM) is capable of analyzing any freely traded market or stock in the world. If it is contained in our extensive CSI data base, we can research it for you. This research is designed for mutual funds, large institutional traders, and hedge funds that require ongoing generic buy and sell trading signals. Please inquire as to pricing. P rivate mentoring is available for a very small number of traders per year. Michael Gibbons personally provides sixteen hours of one on one individual instruction, and the ability to speak with Mr. Gibbons several times per week for one year. The psychology of trading is stressed as well as trade selection and money management. Mentoring clients receive at least three mechanical trend following trading methods as well as the general conceptual basis of Gibbons' VTM Trading Method.Please note that mentoring clients must be current subscribers to either our ETF or Futures Publication. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission requires we display the following disclaimer and it applies to any futures trading statistics or other futures trading information found on this site: HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE. There is a risk of loss in trading stocks, currencies, bonds, futures or any other financial market. Please be certain that you thoroughly understand the risks involved in trading before you trade. Gibbons Trading LLC does not offer person to person individual advice nor will we comment on any specific issue related to trading. We do not tailor our trades to fit any specific person's portfolio. We do not manage customer funds. We are not commodity trading advisors or investment advisors. Gibbons Trading LLC is a stocks and futures electronic information publisher. We provide buy and sell signals for a wide variety of markets based on our research. Due to the nature of our trading, we can (and will) have periods of losses-sometimes long periods of losses. If you cannot afford to have trading losses from time to time, you should not trade. Note that Timer Digest receives our discretionary intermediate and long term market timing signals for bonds, gold, and the S&P 500. Timer Digest market timing signals will not necessarily be in alignment at any given time with the systematic VTM trading signals that we use for individual stock trades, futures index trades, SPX trades, and ETF trades that are in our various Model Portfolios. Note we do not offer refunds for any reason. Before you subscribe, make certain you are clear on the content of the publication you will be receiving. UNAUTHORIZED DISCLOSURE NOTICE CONFIDENTIALITY NOTE: The information contained in the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications is private, legally privileged and confidential information intended only for the use of registered subscribers. If the reader of either the Gibbons' Trading ETF or Futures publication is not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that the reading, dissemination, distribution, forwarding or copying of the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications is strictly prohibited and grounds for the immediate termination of the subscription, without the right of refund, of any registered Gibbons' Trading subscriber who participates in such distribution, dissemination, forwarding or copying. Gibbons' Trading reserves the right to monitor the use of the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications, by whichever electronic means it deems appropriate. WARNING: Reproduction of any of the material contained in the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications, forwarding of same, or any portion thereof, by e-mail, fax, photocopying or any other means, substantial quotation of any portion of the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications, or any other use of same by any person other than the registered subscriber, without the written permission of Gibbons' Trading LLC, may violate copyright laws and subject the violator to legal prosecution. All rights reserved.
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