Yearly Rate of Return
on Equity for all trades issued in our VTM ETF/Stocks Model Portfolio
Value of a $1000 account
from 1996 for all trades made in our VTM ETF/Stocks Model Portfolio
A $1,000
investment made in 1996, is now worth $58,087.91
Yearly Return on Equity
%
Value of a $1000 account
1996
67.3%
$1,673.00
1997
51.3%
$2,531.24
1998
58.7%
$4,017.08
1999
39.9%
$5,619.89
2000
146.9%
$13,875.50
2001
169.7%
$37,422.23
2002
2.81%
$38,503.86
2003
-16.6%
$32,092.96
2004
29.4%
$41,541.12
2005
52.3%
$63,271.28
2006
-32.8%
$42,492.99
2007
36.7%
$58,087.91
The Yearly
Rate of Return on Equity table above reflects the
results of all stock trading (does not include
stock indexes) in our Stocks publication
based on our Value Trading Method since September 1, 1996.
The Yearly Rate of Return is determined by dividing the
Net Profit/Loss on all trades divided by the average account size required
using 50% margin. There was no option trading.
Interest income has not been included nor have commissions been deducted
from results. Commissions are not a significant weight on trading results
because of the length of our average stock trade (five months). The margin
percentage used is generally 50%. Margin was not used in all trades, and was
employed about 52% of the time.
Our ETF/Stocks Model Portfolio trading record is based on trading individual
stocks only until early 2002, and after that, it is an amalgamation of
stocks and ETFs. At the present time, 100% of our trading in our ETF/Stocks
publications is in ETFs. The value of a hypothetical $1000 account is also
shown.
Gibbons' Trading VTM Short Term Futures Model
Portfolio Trading Record
Futures Trading
Information
We have made considerable profits for our subscribers over
the past seven years since the inception of the Futures publication. As good
as our record is, we do not win every month and we do have losing periods.
That is why we recommend that you capitalize your futures account at least
four times minimum margin requirements. Winners approach futures trading as
a business. Any business requires sufficient capital to sustain it. One of
the major reasons a business fails is because of under capitalization. If
you are trading, you must have adequate capital if you want to remain in
business. If you do not have adequate capital, do not trade.
If you look at the failure rate of most futures traders, the
only conclusion you can come to is that many traders really want to lose
their money. This observation is from many years of dealing with thousands
of traders-the vast majority of do not have the necessary discipline to be
successful. Many traders are in the markets for thrills and have a gambler's
mentality. If you have a psychological need to lose money in the markets so
that you can get attention from friends and/or loved ones, we suggest you
not trade.
At times, the margin requirements to take all of our trades
would be too great for some smaller traders. This is why we stress over and
over that you must have enough capital to trade futures. We need staying
power to hold valid trend following positions when they are somewhat against
us, and we do that by having plenty of money in reserve.
Each VTM Futures Short Term Model Portfolio trade we give to
our subscribers varies greatly as to the number of contracts assigned to
that specific trade. Most of the time, we employ multiple contracts to
capitalize on what we perceive as a high probability situation. Clients are
certainly free to adjust the number of contracts they trade to suit their
individual situations. Obviously, smaller accounts will trade less and
substantial accounts may hold larger positions.
Futures Trading Equity is
updated every week and marked to the market. Our VTM Short Term Model
Portfolio has been highly profitable in the past and we expect it to
continue to be profitable in the future. Commissions and slippage have been
deducted from results and interest credit has not been added. The average
margin to achieve the results below was 21%. The average drawdown was 23.7%
with the greatest drawdown 50.51% in 2004. We changed our money management
algorithm in 2004, and as a result, our average drawdown for 2005 and 2006
is 11.0%. The largest drawdown in 2007 was just 2.7%.
The VTM Futures Timing Model issues two kinds of trades.
Very short term trades that last 1-21 days which are based on intra-day
and daily price data, and trades that average 7 months which are based
upon weekly price data. The first type of trades are for the Short
Term Portfolio, and the second type of trades are for the Weekly
Portfolio. The Weekly Portfolio is a long term 100% systematic
trend following method that capitalizes on long term major market moves.
It looks to hit home runs- not singles.
Most trading
programs are so short term that commissions and slippage dissipate much of
the profit because of the high turnover. For us, we trade so infrequently,
that commissions and slippage are generally a non factor. Note that we
margin only 10-20% of total account equity. This means that the return
percentages listed below are 4-5X greater if we were to calculate return on
margin.
Gibbons' Trading VTM Short Term Futures
Model Portfolio Return on Equity (10% margined/90% cash reserve on average)
(updated 7/4/2008)
2001= +203.5%
2002= +46.8%
2003= +6.21%
2004= +45.7%
2005= +147.1%
2006= +352.9%
2007= +133.3%
2008= +17.0%
Gibbons' Trading VTM Weekly Futures Model
Portfolio Return on Equity (20% margined/80% cash reserve on average)
2007= +21.8%
2008= +53.5%
Publication
schedule
Unlike other financial
information writers that have a fixed publication schedule, we publish
whenever the markets tell us to act. In a very active market, you might
receive updates several times a week. We provide a totally
disciplined approach to trading with no emotion added. We are not
fundamental traders that write reams of prose with "stories" that support
our trading recommendations. We give you high probability trades, and we
make highly specific market comments based upon our Value Trading Method.
The VTM is a proprietary "black box" method of trading that
uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees
of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be
consistent with little deviation from the mean. We have enhanced the money
management aspect of our trading, and thus we expect continued gains with
even less volatility of returns.
Because of our track record,
we have one of the most expensive trading information services in the
world. This is because our clients are willing to pay for the edge we
provide on a consistent basis. Subscribers to our VTM publications
include large traders, banks, forex dealers, hedge funds, brokers, futures
funds, insurance companies, risk management firms, and many institutional
money managers.
Subscription Information and Pricing
Our market
trading publications are delivered to you via email. You generally receive
them hours before any trades need to made. You always get perfectly clear
buy and sell recommendations with no equivocation of any kind. You never get
trades that cannot be executed in the real world. Historically, we have had an
extremely low rate of volatility of returns because of the nature of the
Value Trading Method and the advanced money management algorithm that we
employ. We provide very low risk trading-very low. Contrary to the idea that
a high rate of return can only be achieved by taking extraordinary risk, we
have produced large profits with minimal risk. Look at our track record- it
speaks for itself.
Gibbons'
Trading S&P 500 Long Term Trading Signal Publication
Subscribers receive VTM buy
and sell signals for the S&P 500 cash (SPX). Our S&P 500 Long Term Trading
Signal Publication averages one (1) trading signal every three years. VTM
long term trading signals have outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of
286% per year. Traders and investors are provided a significant edge with
our trading signals because we issue both longs and shorts. Our S&P 500 Long
Term Trading Signal Publication is delivered via email.
1
year $700.00
Gibbons'
Trading ETF/Stocks Publication
Subscription includes our
proprietary buy/sell signals in three ETFs (SPY/QQQQ/DIA) and occasional
special situation individual stocks as reflected in the VTM ETF/Stocks Model
Portfolio. Our ETF/Stocks publication is designed for institutional money
managers, research departments, traders, and hedge funds that require market
timing buy and sell trading signals. 70.0% of our ETF trades in real-time
trading have been profitable.
Our ETF/Stocks publication is
delivered via email.
We do not accept credit cards for one
year subscriptions to our ETF/Stocks Publication. Please click on the
contact us button at the bottom of the page and tell us you want to subscribe. We
will then provide you with our mailing address to send your check.
1
month trial
$1,500.00
1 year
$20,000.00
Gibbons' Trading Futures
Publication
We have two (2) Model Portfolios for futures trading. You receive our
proprietary buy/sell signals in 33 futures markets that comprise our VTM
Weekly Model Portfolio. Trades issued for the VTM Weekly Portfolio are 100%
systematic. We are always in the market either long or short. Weekly data is
used to generate the trading signals. Trades last an average of 7 months.
You also receive trades for
our VTM Short Term Model Portfolio that trades in 33
futures markets. At the present time, 95% of trades concentrated in stock
index futures. Trading
signals are 95% systematic and 5% discretionary.
Trades last an average of 10
days.
Our Futures Publication is
delivered via email.
We do not accept credit cards for one year subscriptions to our Futures
Trading Publication. Please click on the contact us button at the
bottom of the page and tell us you want to subscribe. We will then provide you with our
mailing address to send your check.
1
month trial
$1,000.00
1
year $15,000.00
Gibbons' Trading Very Short
Term Futures
Publication
This Model Portfolio is for shorter term futures trades. Trades last an
average of six days. You receive our
proprietary very short term trades and these trading
signals are 100% discretionary.
Since it's inception in September 2007, this Model
Portfolio has 63 completed trades with 56 winners and 8 losers for a winning
percentage of 87.5%. This Model Portfolio has yielded $98,231.00 in closed
trade profit on a one contract basis.
Our Futures Publication is
delivered via email.
We do not accept credit cards for this publication. Please click on the
contact us button
at the bottom of the page and tell us you want to subscribe. We will then provide you with our
mailing address to send your check.
6
months
$60,000.00
1
year $100,000.00
We do not accept
credit cards for 6 or 12 month subscriptions to our ETF/Stocks Publication
and our Futures Trading Publication. For these publications, please
click on the button below and tell us you want to subscribe. We
will then provide you with our mailing address to send your check.
Private
Research
Please
inquire as to pricing
We provide our proprietary
research to clients on an on-demand basis. The Value Trading Method (VTM) is
capable of analyzing any freely traded market or stock in the world. If it
is contained in our extensive data base, we can research it for you. This
research is designed for mutual funds, large institutional traders, and
hedge funds that require ongoing generic buy and sell trading signals.
The Commodity Futures
Trading Commission requires we display the following disclaimer and it
applies to any futures trading statistics or other futures trading
information found on this site:
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT
LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING
MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR
TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY
ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH
THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE
FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT
FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY
TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF
TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL
TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN
GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH
CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE
RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.
There is a risk of loss in
trading stocks, currencies, bonds, futures or any other financial market.
Please be certain that you thoroughly understand the risks involved in
trading before you trade.
Gibbons Trading LLC does not offer person to person
individual advice nor will we comment on any specific issue related to
trading. We do not tailor our trades to fit any specific person's portfolio.
We do not manage customer funds. We are not commodity trading advisors or
investment advisors. Gibbons Trading LLC is a stocks and futures electronic
information publisher. We provide buy and sell signals for a wide variety of
markets based on our research.
Due to the nature of our
trading, we can (and will) have periods of losses-sometimes long periods of
losses. If you cannot afford to have trading losses from time to time, you
should not trade.
Note that Timer Digest
receives our discretionary intermediate and long term market timing signals
for bonds, gold, and the S&P 500. Timer Digest market timing signals will
not necessarily be in alignment at any given time with the systematic VTM
trading signals that we use for individual stock trades, futures index
trades, SPX trades, and ETF trades that are in our various Model Portfolios.
Note we do not offer
refunds for any reason. Before you subscribe, make certain you are clear on
the content of the publication you will be receiving.
UNAUTHORIZED
DISCLOSURE NOTICE
CONFIDENTIALITY
NOTE: The information contained in the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures
publications is private, legally privileged and confidential information
intended only for the use of registered subscribers. If the reader of either
the Gibbons' Trading ETF or Futures publication is not the intended
recipient, you are hereby notified that the reading, dissemination,
distribution, forwarding or copying of the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures
publications is strictly prohibited and grounds for the immediate
termination of the subscription, without the right of refund, of any
registered Gibbons' Trading subscriber who participates in such
distribution, dissemination, forwarding or copying. Gibbons' Trading
reserves the right to monitor the use of the Gibbons' Trading ETF and
Futures publications, by whichever electronic means it deems appropriate.
WARNING: Reproduction of any
of the material contained in the Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures
publications, forwarding of same, or any portion thereof, by e-mail, fax,
photocopying or any other means, substantial quotation of any portion of the
Gibbons' Trading ETF and Futures publications, or any other use of same by
any person other than the registered subscriber, without the written
permission of Gibbons' Trading LLC, may violate copyright laws and subject
the violator to legal prosecution. All rights reserved.